Obama’s “Path To 270” Is Full Of Roadblocks


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RNC RESEARCH BRIEFING
Obama’s "Path To 270" Is Full Of Roadblocks
A Dissection Of The President’s Reelection Strategy
THE OBAMA TEAM HAS LAID OUT FIVE PATHS TO VICTORY IN 2012
Obama Has Set Five Paths To Getting The 270 Electoral Votes He Will Need In Order To Win 2012. " During a briefing for reporters at the DNC yesterday, Obama 2012 campaign manager Jim Messina outlined five paths that would get President Obama to 270 electoral votes. Each starts with Sen. John Kerry’s 2004 map (246 EVs): West Path: Win Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, plus Iowa (272 EVs); Florida Path : Win the Sunshine State (275 EVs); South Path: Win North Carolina and Virginia (274 EVs); Midwest Path : Win Ohio and Iowa (270 EVs); Expansion Path: Win Arizona (272 EVs)." (Mike Allen, Politico’s "Playbook," 12/14/11)

David Axelrod Says The 2012 Campaign Is Characterized By A "Hopeful Vision" "But It’s Hard To See How Voters Are Going To See Any Hope At All." "The briefing suggested a pretty rough campaign. When Axelrod was asked whether there were any vestiges of hope left over from the 2008 campaign, he said that the focus on fairness was in the same vein: ‘It is a hopeful vision of the future of broad prosperity.’ But it’s hard to see how voters are going to see any hope at all." (John Dickerson, "Obama’s Victory Plan," Slate, 12/13/11)
A CLOSER LOOK AT THE OBAMA STRATEGY REVEALS ITS FLAWS
"Florida Path"
STRATEGY: "1. Florida Path: If Obama Wins The 29 Electoral Votes In Florida, He’s At 275 And A Winner." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)
ROADBLOCK: Florida Voters "Continue To Sour" On Obama. "While he carried Florida in 2008, voters in the Sunshine State, which continues to have a higher unemployment rate than the national average during the Obama administration, continue to sour on the president." (Kevin Derby, "Obama’s Feeling The Heat In Florida," Sunshine State News, 12/8/11) 54 Percent Of Florida Voters Say They Disapprove Of The Job Obama Is Doing As President, Compared To 41 Percent Who Say They Disapprove. (Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,226 RV, MoE 2.8% 11/28 – 12/5/11)

  • 51 Percent Of Florida Voters Say That Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection, Compared To 44 Percent Who Say He Does Deserve It. (Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,226 RV, MoE 2.8% 11/28 – 12/5/11)
  • 48 Percent Of Florida Voters Say They Have An Unfavorable Opinion Of Obama While 47 Percent Say They Have A Favorable Opinion Of Him. ( Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,226 RV, MoE 2.8% 11/28 – 12/5/11)

Just 22 Percent Of Florida Voters Say They Are Satisfied With The Direction The Country Is Headed, With 3 Percent Saying "Very Satisfied" And 19 Percent Saying "Somewhat Satisfied." (Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,226 RV, MoE 2.8% 11/28 – 12/5/11)
"West Path"
STRATEGY: "2. West Path: This Scenario Requires Obama To Sweep Colorado, New Mexico And Nevada And Then Also Take Iowa, Where He Won Overwhelmingly In 2008 But Kerry Lost Narrowly In 2004." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)
ROADBLOCK: Among Voters In Colorado, Nevada And New Mexico, Just 42 Percent Approve Of Obama, Compared To 53 Percent Who Say They Disapprove. (Purple State Poll , 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)

  • Only 22 Percent Of Colorado, Nevada, And New Mexico Voters Say The Country Is Headed In The Right Direction, Compared To 69 Percent Who Say It’s On The Wrong Track.( Purple State Poll, 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)


"Midwest Path"

STRATEGY: "3. Midwest Path: The Industrial Midwest Has Turned Against Democrats In A Major Way Since Obama Carried Every State In The So-Called Rust Belt Three Years Ago." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)

  • But Obama’s Midwest Path Gives Him The Slightest Win Possible. "But, if Obama wins only Ohio and Iowa, he’s at 270 electoral votes and a winner — albeit by the thinnest margin possible." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)

ROADBLOCK: Ohio Voters Aren’t Sold On Obama
If The Election Is A Referendum On Obama, Ohio "Will Be Tough." "Still, if this is an economic referendum on Obama nationwide, winning Ohio — which had 9 percent unemployment in October — will be tough." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post , 12/14/11)
55 Percent Of Ohio Voters Say They Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To 41 Percent Who Say They Approve. ( Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,437 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/28 – 12/5/11)

  • 53 Percent Of Ohio Voters Say That Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection, Compared To 42 Percent Who Say He Deserves It. (Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,437 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/28 – 12/5/11)
  • Only 42 Percent Of Ohio Voters Say They Have A Favorable Opinion Of Obama, Compared To 52 Percent Who Say They Have An Unfavorable Opinion. (Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,437 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/28 – 12/5/11)


Just 19 Percent Of Ohio Voters Say They Are Satisfied With The Direction The Country Is Headed, With 2 Percent Saying "Very Satisfied" And 17 Percent Saying "Somewhat Satisfied."
( Quinnipiac University Polling, 1,437 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/28 – 12/5/11)
ROADBLOCK: And Neither Are Iowa Voters
Just 43 Percent Of Iowans Say They Approve Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To 46 Percent Who Say They Disapprove. (NBC News/Marist Poll, 1,393 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/27 – 11/29/11)

  • Among Independent Iowa Voters, Just 35 Percent Approve Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To 47 Percent Who Disapprove.( NBC News/Marist Poll, 1,393 RV, MoE 2.6%, 11/27 – 11/29/11)

"South Path"
STRATEGY: "4. South Path: In 2008, Obama Was The First Democrat To Carry North Carolina Since 1976 And To Win In Virginia Since 1964. If He Repeats That Feat In 2012, He Gets To 274 Electoral Votes." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)
ROADBLOCK: Southern Voters Aren’t Giving Any Praise To The President
"Virginia And North Carolina, Key To Obama’s Victories In 2008, Are Becoming More And More Uncertain." (Glenn Thrush, "Ohio Back On Obama’s Dance Card," Politico, 11/10/11)

50 Percent Of North Carolina Voters Say They Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance Compar ed To 47 Percent Who Say They Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 865 RV, MoE 3.3%, 12/1 – 4/11)
· Among Independent Voters, Just 43 Percent Say They Approve Of Obama’s Job Performance While 51 Percent Say They Disapprove. (Public Policy Polling, 865 RV, MoE 3.3%, 12/1 – 4/11)

Only 43 Percent Of Voters In Virginia, North Carolina And Florida Say They Approve Of Obama, Compared To 51 Percent Who Say They Disapprove. (Purple State Poll, 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)

  • 20 Percent Of Voters In Virginia, North Carolina And Florida Say the Country Is Headed In The Right Direction, Compared To 73 Percent Who Say It’s On The Wrong Track. (Purple State Poll, 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)

"Expansion Path"

STRATEGY: "5. Expansion Path: Three Years Ago, Democrats Were Confident That They Would Have Won Arizona Had Republicans Not Nominated Homestate Sen. John McCain." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)

  • "But To Win In Arizona, Obama Needs To Figure Out How To Win Over Some Significant Chunk Of The White Vote. And That Seems Very Unlikely At The Moment." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post , 12/14/11)

ROADBLOCK: Arizona Is "Openly Hostile" To Obama
An "Openly Hostile Environment" Gives Obama "Little Chance Of Winning Arizona." "Given the openly hostile environment, Mr. Obama would seem to have little chance of winning Arizona’s 11 electoral votes in 2012 or even the incentive to make much of an effort here." (Helene Cooper, "Obama To Vie For Arizona As Latino Numbers Rise," The New York Times, 12/1/11)
"Obama’s Arizona Approval Rating Is Only 41% With 54% Of Voters Disapproving Of Him." ("Obama Unpopular In Arizona," Public Policy Polling, 11/28/11)

  • "Obama’s Seen A Fair Amount Of Erosion Of His Numbers In The State Since Early May, When His Approval Came Down At A 46/50 Spread." ("Obama Unpopular In Arizona," Public Policy Polling , 11/28/11)
  • Obama’s Approval Among Independents Is "Pretty Bad" At Only 35 Percent, With 57 Percent Disapproving. "A higher than normal 22% of Democrats disapprove of the job he’s doing, and with independents he’s at a pretty bad 35/57 spread." ("Obama Unpopular In Arizona," Public Policy Polling , 11/28/11)

Arizona State University Professor Bruce Merrill: If The Election Were Held Today, "Obama Would Lose Handily." "Campaign experts still consider Arizona a long shot for Mr. Obama. If the election were held today, ‘Obama would lose handily,’ said Bruce Merrill, a professor emeritus at Arizona State University." (Helene Cooper, "Obama To Vie For Arizona As Latino Numbers Rise," The New York Time s, 12/1/11)
"But Just As About Everywhere Else, Voters Have Soured On Obama Over The Course Of This Year." ("Romney Leads Obama Almost As Much As McCain In AZ," Public Policy Polling , 11/28/11)
MORE TROUBLING, OBAMA’S PATH DOESN’T GIVE HIM ANY ROOM FOR LOSSES
Obama’s Path To Victory Does Not Allow Him To Lose Any States He And Kerry Carried In 2004 And 2008, Including Wisconsin And New Hampshire. "That means that Obama could lose none of the states he and Kerry carried in 2004 and 2008 — including swing states like New Hampshire and Wisconsin — and have the numbers add up. The paths are ranked from most likely to least likely for Obama." (Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake, "How President Obama Gets To 270," Washington Post, 12/14/11)
ROADBLOCK: Obama Doesn’t Have New Hampshire On His Side
"Although Obama Won New Hampshire In 2008 With 54 Percent Of The Vote, His Victory Is Not Assured This Time." (Shira Schoenberg, "While N.H. Eyes On GOP Candidates, Obama And Democrats Work Quietly,"The Boston Globe, 11/10/11)
In New Hampshire, 14.6 Percent Or 38,408 Registered Democrats Have Abandoned The Party Since 2008. (Michelle Diggles And Lanae Erickson, "Independents Day 2012," Third Way, 12/6/11)

Just 40 Percent Of New Hampshire Voters Say They Approve Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To 52 Percent Who Say They Disa pprove.
(NBC News/Marist Poll, 2,263 RV, MoE 2.1%, 11/28 – 11/30/11)

  • Among Independents, 40 Percent Say They Approve Of Obama’s Job Performance. ( NBC News/Marist Poll, 2,263 RV, MoE 2.1%, 11/28 – 11/30/11)

ROADBLOCK: And Wisconsin Voters Aren’t Giving Obama A Win
Just 42 Percent Of Iowa, Minnesota, And Wisconsin Voters Say They Approve Of Obama, Compared To 50 Percent Who Say They Disapprove. (Purple State Poll, 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)

  • Among Iowa, Minnesota And Wisconsin Voters, Just 20 Percent Say The Country Is Headed In The Right Direction, Compared To 70 Percent Who Say It’s On The Wrong Track.(Purple State Poll, 1436 LV, MoE 2.6%, 11/13 – 17/11)

AND VOTERS IN STATES ON OBAMA’S "PATH TO 270" ARE RUNNING FROM THE DEMOCRAT PARTY
"President Obama Is Moving To Energize The Democratic Base For His Re-Election Campaign, But In The Case Of A Dozen Battleground States, He’ll Have To Work Harder Than Four Years Ago To Find It." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans" USA Today, 12/13/11)
The Number Of Swing State Voters Who Identify Themselves As Democrats Has Dropped 4 Percentage Points, "While The Ranks Of Republicans Have Climbed By 5 Points ." "Since the heady days of 2008, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States Poll finds the number of voters who identify themselves as Democratic or Democratic-leaning in these key states has eroded, down by 4 percentage points, while the ranks of Republicans have climbed by 5 points. Republican voters also are more attentive to the campaign, more enthusiastic about the election and more convinced that the outcome matters." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans" USA Today, 12/13/11)
In 2008, Obama Carried Swing States By 8 Percentage Points, "Democrats Swamped Republicans" By 11 Points And Today That Edge Has "Tightened To A Statistically Insignificant 2 Points." "The contrasting conditions of the nation’s two major political parties — discouraged Democrats and resurgent Republicans — underscore how different Obama’s re-election campaign is from the contest four years ago. Consider the math: In 2008, when Obama carried the swing states by 8 percentage points, Democrats there swamped Republicans in party identification by 11 points. Now, that partisan edge has tightened to a statistically insignificant 2 points." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans"USA Today , 12/13/11)
"And The ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ That Helped Fuel A Democratic Victory Last Time Has Turned Into A Republican Asset." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans" USA Today, 12/13/11)

  • 61 Percent Of Republicans Say They Are Enthusiastic About Voting For President In 2012, Compared To Just 47 Percent Of Democrats. "Sixty-one percent of Republicans say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for president next year, compared with 47% of Democrats." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans"USA Today, 12/13/11)
  • Among The Least Enthused Voters, "Core Democratic Groups That Were Critical To Obama’s Election In 2008, Including Minorities And Younger Voters." "Among the most enthusiastic are some of the GOP’s core voters: conservatives, middle-aged men and those 50 to 64 years old. Those who are least enthused include core Democratic groups that were critical to Obama’s election in 2008, including minorities and younger voters." (Susan Page, "Swing States Poll: Downbeat Dems, Resurgent Republicans"USA Today , 12/13/11)

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Governor Rick Scott’s Weekly Newsletter – December 16, 2011


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Florida Unemployment Down

Two Percentage Points

This week, upon returning from a week-long trade mission to Israel, I received welcome news. Florida’s unemployment rate and job numbers for November 2011 were released today, showing unemployment is down two percentage points since I took office, and down 0.4 percentage points from October.

A total of 8,500 new jobs were added in November, which makes the total net new jobs for the year more than 120,000.

We are continuing to move Florida in the right direction by streamlining government, eliminating burdensome regulations, identifying economic development opportunities and prioritizing education. I am hopeful that we will see Florida’s unemployment rate continue to decline as jobs grow and more Floridians find work. I invite you to visit the links below to learn more about my trade mission to Israel and my budget proposal that focuses on funding the education of our young people.

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Promises Made, Promises Kept:

Florida Unemployment Down Two Percentage Points

Statement for Governor Scott Regarding the Race to the Top Early Learning Challenge

Governor Scott Visits the Western Wall During Israeli Trade Mission

Education and Jobs Top Governor Scott’s Budget Priorities

Governor Scott, Lt. Governor Carroll, and First Lady Ann Scott Announce 2012 Black History Month Contests

Governor Scott’s Weekly Radio Address

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Earlier this year, First Lady Ann Scott sent a personal letter to Florida schools inviting students and school groups to visit the Florida Governor’s Mansion. Since her invitation went out, many groups of school children have traveled to Tallahassee and toured the Mansion.

During the holiday season, hundreds of children have enjoyed the lights and holiday decorations that adorn the Mansion during this time of year. Mrs. Scott has spent time visiting the children, taking photos and answering questions.

As First Lady of Florida, one of the first things she wanted to do was open the Florida Governor’s Mansion to more students and school groups year round. She has made it a priority to showcase the beauty and history of the Mansion, so it will be more welcoming to the public and to guests. Tours will continue during the 2012 legislative session and throughout the school year. Schedule a tour today.

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Students from Canopy Oaks Elementary School in Tallahassee accept First Lady Ann Scott’s invitation and visit the Florida Governor’s Mansion.

On Friday Lt. Governor Jennifer Carroll addressed the Jackson County Chamber of Commerce monthly breakfast in Marianna. Her remarks focused on jobs and the economy.

There are more people in the labor force in Jackson County and more people employed in Jackson County today than at this time last year. Wages are also up from last year. An experienced worker could expect to earn $19.56 an hour at this time last year. Today in Jackson County that same experienced worker can expect to earn $19.98. That may seem small but that’s almost $700 extra per year for the same job and experience.

In fact, of Jackson County’s 11 major industries, 9 have seen job growth this year including a 3% growth rate in their top industry of service occupations. Florida is moving in the right direction and Jackson County is helping Florida get back to work. Thanks to Governor Scott’s focus and policies, Florida’s unemployment rate continues to fall.

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Lt. Governor Carroll visits Jackson County. Click on the picture to follow the Lt. Governor on Facebook.

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The Republican Establishment Has No Fire | James Pat Guerréro


The weakness of dishonesty and critique may finally ember the republican establishment. The republican establishment has lost its fire. One isn’t worried about it, as long as it’s exposed. And it is.

Witness the last ABC News republican debate when Mitt Romney said to Newt Gingrich that we shouldn’t alienate the “Palestinian People” on Gingrich’s recent comment that the Palestinians were historically an “invented people.” Romney was almost beside himself when he stated unequivocally that people shouldn’t tell the truth; that people should shut up when they debate on the Israeli state and the Palestinian demand. This is only one instance of silence in debate, but the republican establishment is rife with it.

Romney gave this reason for what he said: True Leadership. What did this mean? It meant this – the republican establishment does not want a republican candidate to speak out on hot button issues (period). And Romney was following the republican establishment; furthermore, he was LEADING the republican establishment. That’s what the republican establishment calls true leadership, as though paganism is comfortable with the nostalgic; as though paganistic arguments are the most passionate; and as though, if pagans lose, feeling good is the goal. What the hey: No Pain, NO PAIN.

But where does this really lead all the people. Not toward any truth for sure.

Whereas Newt Gingrich did state in the debate unequivocally that the truth should be spoken. Is Newt Gingrich part of the republican establishment? One leaves it for the people to decide. He is on fire with the truth.

Tea Party Substance


Newt 2012
Dear Friend and Supporter,The media feigns shock that polls show Newt Gingrich with a definitive lead among self-identified Tea Party supporters, but as a Tea Party organizer I know whatNewt 2012 they refuse to accept: Tea Party members have spent years gaining a deep understanding of important issues, and they identify with the depth and substance of this campaign. I am proud to have joined this campaign as the National Coalitions Director, and as a Tea Party member I look forward to building a coalition of all branches of the conservative movement because Newt Gingrich is a conservative we can trust.

Unlike many politicians, Newt didn’t play it safe with the Tea Party. While others played it safe, he didn’t refuse to participate in events and rallies as the media falsely accused us of being Astroturf, racists, extremists, and any other insult they could think of in an attempt to marginalize us. I know, because I helped organize the Tax-Day Tea Party in New York City on April 15, 2009, when millions of concerned Americans took to the streets across America to protest bloated government. And did you know that Newt Gingrich was our keynote speaker?!

I have been blessed to meet Tea Partiers from across the country who started a journey that day that Newt Gingrich spoke at our event in NYC. That journey started with a sense of fear and frustration over an unresponsive and growing government, and has led to an in-depth study of how things could have gotten so bad. It is exactly that reason why the well-informed and very conservative members of the Tea Party movement are flocking to Newt Gingrich.

Here are just a few of the reasons I proudly support Newt Gingrich:

The day that Al Gore testified before the Senate in favor of the cap-and-trade scheme, Newt testified against the scheme and led American Solutions to help defeat the measure.

Newt was an outspoken critic against Obamacare.

Newt holds an impressive record as Speaker, where he forced Bill Clinton to accept four straight years of balanced budgets, paid off more than $400 billion in taxpayer-held debt, passed the fundamental reform of welfare, and significantly cut the capital gains tax, which led Americans to create more than 11 million jobs!

The Tea Party was so effective in the 2010 elections because so many people understood that it takes resources to compete in elections and they pooled their resources together. Now our campaign needs your help to secure the nomination for the conservative candidate. Every contribution has an impact on our ability to unite the Republican Party and the conservative movement to defeat President Obama! There is no contribution too small, and you can give up to $2500 for an individual and $5000 for a couple! I thank you in advance for your continued support!

Thank You,

Kellen Giuda
Newt 2012
National Coalitions Director

Donate Today

To Donate By Mail Please Send Checks To:

Newt 2012
Post Office Box 550769
Atlanta, GA 30355

UPCOMING EVENTS

Newt meets with the Cedar Rapids Gazette Editorial Board
Wednesday, December 14 2011 – 11:15am CT
Cedar Rapids, IA
Note: This interview will stream live at www.thegazette.com.

Newt calls in to Sean Hannity’s radio show
Wednesday, December 14 2011 – 2:30pm CT
LISTEN LIVE

Newt participates in a discussion about the importance of brain science research
Wednesday, December 14 2011 – 2:45pm CT
University of Iowa College of Public Health
Medical Education Research Facility (MERF)
375 Newton Road
Iowa City, IA

Newt calls in to Hugh Hewitt’s radio show
Wednesday, December 14 2011 – 6:30pm CT
LISTEN LIVE

Newt attends the premiere of Governor Mike Huckabee’s new documentary, The Gift of Life
Wednesday, December 14 2011 – 7-9:00pm CT
Hoyt Sherman Place
1501 Woodland Avenue
Des Moines, IA

Newt participates in a meet & greet with local citizens
Thursday, December 15 2011 12-1:00pm CT
Willow Ridge Golf Course
1788 Madison Avenue
Fort Dodge, IA

Newt participates in Fox News Presidential Debate
Thursday, December 15 2011 – 9pm ET
Sioux City Convention Center
Sioux City, Iowa
Host a debate watch party

Newt is interviewed on Hannity
Thursday December 15 2011 – 11:00pm ET
Fox News

Callista has a book signing at Mount Vernon Vistors Center
Saturday, December 17 2011 – 2-4pm ET
Historic Mount Vernon
3200 Mount Vernon Memorial Highway
Mount Vernon, VA 22309

Contributions to Newt 2012 are not tax deductible for federal income tax purposes. The maximum an individual may contribute to Newt 2012 is $2,500 for the primary election and an additional $2,500 for the general election. Couples may contribute up to $5,000 for each election; joint contributions require the signature of both spouses. Federal multicandidate PACs may contribute up to $5,000 for each election. By submitting your contribution, you agree that the first $2,500 of a contribution will be designated for the 2012 election, and any additional amount, up to $2,500 will be designated for the 2012 general election. Contributions from corporations, foreign nationals, and federal government contractors are prohibited. Contributions must be made from personal funds and may not be reimbursed by any other person. Federal law requires us to use our best efforts to obtain and report the name, mailing address, occupation, and name of employer for each individual whose contributions aggregate in excess of $200 in an election cycle.

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Newt Gingrich Letter to Supporters and Staff


Newt 2012

Gingrich Urges Supporters to Stay Positive
Focus on Solutions Will Guarantee President Obama is not Reelected, He Writes

Atlanta, GA – Following up on a promise he made during a town hall in Windham, NH on Monday, Newt Gingrich released the following letter today sent to his supporters and staff:December 13, 2011

Dear supporters and staff,

Since I announced my candidacy for President of the United States, I have made it clear that I intended to run a positive, solutions-based campaign. There is not doubt, these are difficult times for our country. The American people deserve a respectful and constructive campaign that focuses on a vision for rebuilding the country we love.

It is critical the Republican nominee emerge from this primary campaign un-bloodied, so that he or she can make the case against President Obama from a position of strength.

For these reasons I have refrained from launching attacks on my Republican opponents, though I have reserved the right to respond when my record has been distorted. On Monday this occurred when Governor Romney and I engaged in what in diplomatic circles is called “a frank exchange” over our respective records in the private sector. That same day, however, Mr. Romney announced, “I’m not going to say outrageous things that can be used to hang [a GOP opponent] down the road.” I agree wholeheartedly with this statement. So let us hope that from this point forward we can devote our energies to real issues, such as discussing our plans for our nation’s economic recovery and helping to create millions of new jobs for the American people.

I also want to reiterate to each of you what I have said from the beginning of our campaign, and most recently last Saturday in Iowa: We will run a positive campaign focused on our country’s future. We will not be running any negative advertising. With Ronald Reagan’s eleventh commandment in mind, we will ask our supporters not to contribute to any so-called SuperPAC that runs negative ads against any other Republican contender and we will discourage ad hominem attacks on our fellow Republicans.

Therefore, I am instructing all members of my campaign staff and respectfully urge anyone acting as a surrogate for our campaign to avoid initiating attacks on other Republican candidates. It is my hope that my Republican opponents will join me in this commitment.

Running a positive solutions-based campaign is the only way to guarantee President Obama is not reelected.

Thank you as always for your support and enthusiasm.

Sincerely,

Newt Gingrich

-END-

Contact: R.C. Hammond
rch

Newt 2012

Iran Conducting Anti-U.S. Operations from Latin America | Documentales Univision


 

Iran is conducting anti-U.S. operations from Latin America, including military training camps in Venezuela, and expanding its reach across the border from the U.S. in Mexico, according to footage unveiled late Thursday by the largest Spanish-language network in the United States, Univision.

The documentary showed a former Iran senior official accepting a plan to launch from Mexico a cyber war on the United States, one that would cripple U.S. computer systems, including the White House, the FBI, the CIA and several nuclear plants. The official, former Iranian Ambassador to Mexico Mohammad Hassan Ghadiri, was shown accepting the offer from undercover Mexican university students. A trailer to the documentary can be seen here.

The documentary also showed the undercover Mexican students presenting plans for the cyber attack to Venezuelan officials in Mexico. The Venezuelan official was very receptive to the plot, saying that she was close to Venezuela’s hard-leftist President Hugo Chavez and that she would love to share the information with him as soon as possible. The same happened with Cuban officials in Mexico, who were equally interested in a plot against the United States.

The students in the documentary appeared to have conducted a sting operation similar to the reports carried out by the American journalist James O’Keefe in the U.S.

The documentary, called “The Iranian Threat,” said that undercover journalists were also able to infiltrate Iranian military training camps working from mosques in Venezuela, though it showed no actual footage of the camps. Univision alleged there were links between the alleged camps and a radical Muslim implicated in the 1994 Buenos Aires bombing of a Synagogue that killed 85 and wounded hundreds. The Iranian lives in Argentina, a country which also has strong ties to Chavez.

Ties between the hard line Islamist government in Tehran and the anti-American government of President Hugo Chavez have been growing for years, including a weekly secretive Cairo-Tehran flight that is of grave concerns to U.S. officials.

Undercover journalists also confirmed Iranian-backed money-laundry and drug-trafficking cartels that are used to back Islamist networks and training camps in Venezuela and elsewhere, which exist to attack U.S. interests and undermine the U.S. in Latin America.

Univision said in press release that it had “dozens of hours of secret recordings, conducted extensive interviews with people who participated in the meetings, including a former Iranian ambassador, and examined documents ranging from hand-written notes to internal federal reports and obtained unpublished video of a failed bomb attack against New   York’s JFK airport. In Mexico, Univision, uncovered covert recordings of the alleged Iranian plan to cripple the computer systems of the White House, the FBI, the CIA and several nuclear power plants.”

The severity of this threat cannot be ignored. The Obama’s Administration has shown its policies in the Middle East have failed. This documentary raises some serious issues that need to be further investigated. We also need a serious commitment to stem the growing presence of terrorist elements in this Hemisphere. Instead, this Administration has stood silently as civil liberties and democratic institutions deteriorate in Latin America inviting Iran and other rabid anti-American forces to fester.

In 2009, President Obama said his Administration was willing to talk to Iran “without preconditions” and would work towards the abolition of nuclear weapons. As this documentary clearly reveals, the Obama Administration’s soft-diplomacy approach has failed.

###

Israel Ortega is the Editor of Heritage Libertad, www.libertad.org The Heritage Foundation’s Spanish language website.  James Phillips is the Senior Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs at the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.